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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Chapecoense vs Fluminense — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 32 · Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 UTC

Chapecoense win
22%
Draw
22%
Fluminense win
56%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 2
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score58%
ChapecoenseLWLDL20th · 18 pts
FluminenseDWLWW3rd · 51 pts

Ahead of Chapecoense v Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Fluminense the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Chapecoense and 2 for Fluminense. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chapecoense goals down (↓), Fluminense goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

59963151010631366421122110011000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Chapecoense 0W · 0D · 1L.

Fluminense2–1Chapecoense

Recent form

Chapecoense
L@ Vitória0–4
D@ Mineiro1–1
Lvs Internacional1–2
W@ Corinthians2–1
L@ Grêmio1–3
Fluminense
Wvs Coritiba4–0
W@ Corinthians3–1
L@ Mineiro1–3
Wvs Vasco da Gama1–0
D@ Paranaense3–3

FAQ

Who will win Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Fluminense the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Chapecoense win 22%, draw 22%, Fluminense win 56%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Fluminense?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Chapecoense 1–1 Fluminense). Projected goals: Chapecoense 1.1, Fluminense 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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