Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures
Botafogo 1–2 Vasco da Gama
Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Wed 7 Oct, 23:30 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
Ahead of Botafogo v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 7 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Botafogo the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Botafogo and 1.2 for Vasco da Gama. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Botafogo goals down (↓), Vasco da Gama goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings — Botafogo 3W · 0D · 1L.
Recent form
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Botafogo winDrawVasco da Gama win
FAQ
Who will win Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Botafogo the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Botafogo win 53%, draw 22%, Vasco da Gama win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Botafogo 1–1 Vasco da Gama). Projected goals: Botafogo 1.9, Vasco da Gama 1.2.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.