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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Botafogo 1–2 Vasco da Gama

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Wed 7 Oct, 23:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 2

Botafogo 1–2 Vasco da Gama — Vasco da Gama won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Vasco da Gama to win at 25%, and the exact 1–2 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Botafogo win
53%
Draw
22%
Vasco da Gama win
25%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score61%
BotafogoDDWLL13th · 35 pts
Vasco da GamaLWWWD14th · 35 pts

Ahead of Botafogo v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 7 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Botafogo the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Botafogo and 1.2 for Vasco da Gama. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Botafogo goals down (↓), Vasco da Gama goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

45310081063108106310564210232100111000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Botafogo 3W · 0D · 1L.

Botafogo1–2Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama1–2Botafogo
Botafogo3–0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama0–2Botafogo

Recent form

Botafogo
Lvs Vasco da Gama1–2
L@ Mirassol0–2
Wvs Grêmio3–2
Dvs Bragantino1–1
Dvs Palmeiras0–0
Vasco da Gama
Dvs Clube do Remo0–0
W@ Botafogo2–1
Wvs Coritiba5–0
W@ Grêmio2–1
L@ Fluminense0–1

FAQ

Who will win Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Botafogo the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Botafogo win 53%, draw 22%, Vasco da Gama win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Botafogo 1–1 Vasco da Gama). Projected goals: Botafogo 1.9, Vasco da Gama 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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