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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Bahia vs São Paulo — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 33 · Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Bahia win
51%
Draw
26%
São Paulo win
23%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score47%
BahiaWWWLL6th · 46 pts
São PauloLWLLW9th · 39 pts

Ahead of Bahia v São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A on 29 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bahia the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.5 for Bahia and 0.9 for São Paulo. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bahia goals down (↓), São Paulo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Bahia vs São Paulo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bahia the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Bahia win 51%, draw 26%, São Paulo win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs São Paulo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Bahia 1–0 São Paulo). Projected goals: Bahia 1.5, São Paulo 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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