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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Bahia vs Mirassol — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 30 · Sun 11 Oct, 22:30 UTC

Bahia win
54%
Draw
23%
Mirassol win
22%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score53%
BAHBahiaWWWLL6th · 46 pts
MIRMirassolLWDWD15th · 33 pts

Ahead of Bahia v Mirassol in the Brasileirão Série A on 11 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bahia the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Bahia and 1 for Mirassol. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Bahia vs Mirassol?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bahia the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Bahia win 54%, draw 23%, Mirassol win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Mirassol?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bahia 1–1 Mirassol). Projected goals: Bahia 1.8, Mirassol 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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